The bigger hostage drama

The rescue of the American captain from pirates — handled with cool competence from President Obama to the SEAL snipers — gives the nation a much-needed boost. This comes after eight years of "bring 'em on" grandstanding by the Bush administration. And now, as the company that once stood for American success and the rising middle class, General Motors, faces bankruptcy. At least we can still do something right.

This should not distract us from piracy that has been happening on Wall Street, and that the Obama administration seems committed to, at best, merely applying a nip-and-tuck. It emerges that Obama chief economic adviser Larry Summers not only received $5.2 million from a hedge fund and $2.7 million in speaking fees from big financial institutions after he left Harvard. He also was working for a hedge fund while he was president of Harvard. Frank Rich asks, "Can he be a fair broker of the bailout when he so recently received
lavish compensation from some of its present and, no doubt, future
players?" Ben Stein answers, "I know people and I know money, at least the basics. If anyone thinks
that a man who has had a taste of honey from Wall Street on that scale
will ever really crack the whip on Wall Street, he’s dreaming."

Larry Summers, the man leading Obama's reckless push into socialism; sorry, SOCIALISM!! (or is it fascism? — the right-wingers can't figure it out). What's really happening is that the pirates are winning, and there's no SEAL team out of D.C. to protect taxpayers — or the future of this republic.

A conspiracy of bears?

My economics blog in liberal Seattle has lately attracted a crowd of commenters that would make Phoenix proud. The stock market's decline has nothing to do with the collapse of housing and banking bubbles, with historic levels of debt and all the unwinding of contracts based on leverage, nothing to do with a nation groping against fundamental discontinuity. No, it's Obama's fault. Sure enough, this has become a growing point of attack by the reactionaries, who offer no solutions beyond the failed policies that caused this mess.

But it caused me to think…we have Tim Geitner at Treasury, rather than, say, Joe Stiglitz. We have Larry Summers, and hovering in the background, Bob Rubin, as chief White House economic advisers. Not Robert Reich. Kathleen Sebelius at Health and Human Services, instead of Dr. Howard Dean. Obama insiders rushed to reassure the idiot David Brooks that "they do not see themselves as a group of liberal crusaders. They see
themselves as pragmatists who inherited a government and an economy
that have been thrown out of whack. They’re not engaged in an
ideological project to overturn the Reagan Revolution…"

This may be smart centrist politics. It will be completely inadequate to address the crises before us. Yet it may also mean that Obama realizes that the government was long ago taken over by, let's say a community of interests, that is fundamentally opposed to reform. Does this group have the capacity to bring him into line by collapsing the stock market — naked short-selling it — until he yells "uncle"?

The Citi gang gets away

The financial implosion that wrecked America was largely cooked up by Citigroup, not only in its kitchens of "innovation" but especially in its wide influence over the industry. Now what was once touted as the largest "financial services" company in the world is being dismantled. Among other things, it will sell its Smith Barney unit, credit-card business and consumer finance units. The Wall Street Journal observes that the final result will look much like the old Citicorp before Sandy Weill got his hands on it in 1998. Only without the integrity, market value and perhaps safety and soundness.

Unfortunately, the American taxpayers own a 7.8 percent stake in this dog (the Treasury alone gave a $45 billion infusion — 45 times the annual Amtrak budget). Maybe — who the hell knows what we're on the hook for, considering the secrecy with which the bailout has been handled. Who knows how many hundreds of billions of dollars have been thrown down the Citi-rathole by TARP and the Federal Reserve. And all for what? Did we also pay for the cheap undercoating and worthless extended warranty?

This institution that was deemed too big to fail has failed to unfreeze credit markets. Citigroup has succeeded in lavishly compensating its top executives and big-time traders, who jet away from the calamity with no consequences. In 2007, as the crisis became undeniable, then CEO Charles Prince, who had performed abysmally for shareholders, nevertheless made some $25 million. Robert Rubin, the Democrat brain trust on economics, was paid $17 million. This year, aided by "rescue" money from the taxpayers, Citi reportedly set aside $3 billion in bonuses.

Obviously the Citi never slept.

The Madoff scandal: More than a Ponzi scheme

Were the damage not so great, it would be amusing to see SEC Chairman Chris Cox running around shocked, shocked, that Bernard Madoff had allegedly pulled off the biggest financial fraud in history — and the watchdog was again caught napping. Or worse. The agency ignored years of warnings about Madoff's activities, and Barron's did an article questioning his returns a decade ago. Madoff reportedly bragged about his influence in D.C., including having an in-law who worked for the SEC.

As the victims of the alleged scheme, including many charities, see their investments wiped out, Madoff is out on bond, having to wear an ankle bracelet and stay home. Had he been a minority/poor kid who stole $100 from a cash register drawer, he'd be in county lockup with hardened criminals. Meanwhile, Attorney General Michael Mukasey has recused himself from the investigation, without giving a reason. This is America in the new gilded age, where government has been essentially handed over to the wealthy and connected — and we're surprised they went wilding?

An older America learned from the frauds and follies of the 1920s, including the legendary collapse of the Samuel Insull monopoly. Regulation of securities and banks was put in place, helping to ensure the success of American business for decades through transparency, competition and fairness. That all began to unravel with the Reagan Revolution — but especially in the 1990s with deregulation pushed by Sen. Phil Gramm (R-UBS) and Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, a kingpin from Goldman Sachs.

Worse than the Great Depression?

It's widely acknowledged by economists, and supported by mounting evidence, that we're in for the worst economic contraction since the Great Depression. This is not "negative news" the media are inventing, dear positive-thinkers. It is simply reality. Yet it won't be as bad as the Depression, right?

For months, I have been giving a qualified "no" to that question. First, because the safety nets of the New Deal and Great Society, although badly frayed by Republican misgovernance, are still in place. Second, Americans are more affluent — we don't have a third of the nation "ill clad, ill-fed and ill-housed" and millions lacking even electricity. My "no" was qualified because expert opinion got us into this mess and will continue to hold sway — watch as the proteges of Robert Rubin steer the Obama economic plan. Experts were flummoxed by the Great Depression and in many cases carried out policies that made it worse. Expertise is only useful when it grows, as when a man demanded to know why Keynes had changed his view on an issue. Keynes responded: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"

Now, however, I am starting to wonder about my reassurances. Friday's report that 533,000 jobs were lost in November alone, signaling that the pace of unemployment is accelerating fast, was a kick in the teeth. Could this recession turn into a depression to rival, or surpass, the 1930s?

It is possible.